Blog and Podcast

Ep 49: Potential Inheritance: Include In Your Retirement Plan Or Not?

You live below your means and invest for your future … similar to your parents. Now your parents are getting older, and it seems fairly clear they’ll be leaving you an inheritance at some point. Meanwhile you’re still working. Should you include the potential inheritance in your retirement plan?

Banking on an expected inheritance for your retirement plan involves risk. Hear Kevin discuss real-life cases where it was appropriate and another where it was too risky. Continue reading

Why Big Tech Stocks Must Underperform

The combined market capitalization of the five largest stocks by market capitalization — Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon, and Facebook — reached 20% of the S&P 500 in 2020. This level of concentration has not been seen since the Technology Bubble in the late 1990s.

Since 2010, the S&P 500 gained nearly $18 trillion in market cap, with 26% of this growth from the five companies alone. These businesses are truly extraordinary.
Yet, these businesses have proved so successful that there is no way to repeat what they have done. Continue reading

Ep 48: Why Big Tech Stocks Must Underperform

The five biggest tech stocks — Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft — are great businesses. They’ve been so successful over the last decade that they comprise about 20% of the total S&P 500 market capitalization — a level of concentration not seen since the late 1990s. They also command higher prices (valuation) than the market as a whole.

While these companies have provided outsized growth rates and returns to investors over the last decade, there is no logical reason you should expect similar outsized growth rates and returns over the coming decade. Whether it is due to the magnitude of their success, capitalism or regulation, it will be nearly impossible to repeat their growth and success moving forward.

Listen to Kevin describe a simple thought experiment illustrating why it’s mathematically impossible for past to be prologue for these tech darlings. Eventually, the music will run out. Investors will again learn the lesson that price matters … just as they learned the same at the end of the Tech Bubble. Continue reading

Ep 47: Risks & Uncertainties in Pandemics & Retirement Planning

Interesting parallels can be seen in modeling retirement projections and the Coronavirus pandemic. Small changes to inputs — such as the rate of return or infection spread rates — can have magnified effects on outputs — such as ending wealth or total infections (and ultimately deaths), given similar exponential growth traits. Continue reading

Ep 46: Rebalancing Your Portfolio: Why, How & Complexities to Overcome

Control risk? Buy low and sell high? Higher returns? Who doesn’t all of these in their portfolio! And that’s what portfolio rebalancing can do. While rebalancing sounds simple in theory it quickly gets complex in practice. Hear Kevin describe rebalancing from the simple to complex. Continue reading

Ep 45: Retire Smarter Solution™

Suppose you have to have surgery. Does exploratory surgery sound good, or does a pre-determined surgical plan sound better? Having a plan and a repeatable process sounds less risky.

The same goes for retirement. Retirement spending. Health Insurance. Social Security. Investing. Taxes. These are all key and complex areas where you need to make smart decisions for retirement. Listen to Kevin describe True Wealth’s Retire Smarter Solution that aligns your money to your goals, overlaid with tax-smart strategies, so you can retire with confidence. Continue reading

How The CARES Act Impacts You

The recently passed CARES Act provides support to Americans and companies large and small. Not so much a stimulus bill but a liquidity bill in our view, it gives a necessary backstop to the forced shut-downs required to fight the Coronavirus. The Act will help families meet their needs, pay their bills, and preserve many jobs to which they can return. Here are some of the key elements of the CARES Act that may impact you. Continue reading

Ep 43: Financial Planning To-do’s During Market Declines

It’s not all bad news out there. Many opportunities are being created that you can capitalize on. Hear Kevin give an update on the current state of the markets and financial planning to-do’s that need to be done through the Coronavirus turmoil. Continue reading

Ep 42: This Is Not 2008

We’re in a crisis … different from 2008. The pandemic and prudent, social-distancing response is causing fear, uncertainty, and now panic in financial markets. Listen to Kevin explain the current state of the markets and how this crisis is currently materially different from 2008. Be sure to pay attention to why — from a financial perspective — our country is better positioned to navigate through these troubled times by dusting off 2008’s playbook, and what you need to do to keep your plan on track. Continue reading